Stochastic Indicator: What Is
It And How Do I Use It?
The stochastic indicator is an oscillator that enables you
to see at a glance the momentum of the market. Momentum is the
pressure or weight behind the current trend. It is based on the
idea that while prices are rising, the closing price will tend
to be higher than it would be if the market was stable.
Equally, when prices are falling, the closing price will tend
to be low. From this assumption the oscillator measures when a
trend is considered to have reached its limit and is about to
turn.
The actual calculations are complex but fortunately you do
not need to do them because most trading software will do this
automatically for you. This means that you should be able to
access the indicator plotted on a chart in your forex brokerage
account.
The stochastic indicator will give you two lines that
usually run fairly close together:
- the line called %K gives a comparison of the last closing
price to previous closing prices.
- the line called %D smooths out the %K line and can be used
as a signal line.
So what does the stochastic indicator actually tell you, and
how can you use it to make money?
Using it is quite simple. It gives a signal that a market is
overbought or oversold. In other words, it will tell you when a
trend should be about to reverse, according to the basis of
their calculations.
If both lines are high, this is a signal that the market is
overbought. If you are trading forex on the basis of this
indicator you would put in an order to sell.
Conversely if both lines are low, they are telling you that
the market is oversold and you could put in an order to
buy.
Keep in mind that you should not trade on the basis of one
indicator alone, but always seek confirmation from at least one
other.
You will normally have horizontal lines on your charts
marking the high and low points for you so that you can see at
a glance when to act. In many cases you can alter the position
of these lines to suit your trading style. The most common
settings are 70, 75 or 80 for the high line and 30, 25 or 20
for the low line.
If your settings are closer (70 and 30) you will want the
stochastic lines to stay above or below your trigger lines for
a longer time before you trade. If your settings are at 80 and
20, any movement above them would be a strong signal. Check
this out with your own backtests to decide when you would be
comfortable putting in an order.
Many currency traders also regard the relative positions of
the two stochastic indicator lines as a signal for forex
trading. They would buy when %K crosses %D line from below
going upwards, or from above going downwards.
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