Japanese Candlestick Charting
Techniques: Support And Resistance
Japanese candlestick charting techniques have been around
for almost as long as candlestick charts themselves. This
method of tracking price movements was invented by a Japanese
commodity trader named Homma who dealt in rice in the 18th
century. He needed a way of marking not just price but open,
close, high and low prices over a time period that was easy to
read at a glance.
It was quickly found that this method of recording price
values could also give rise to various techniques for
predicting future demand, that is, whether the price is going
to rise or fall in the near future. Clearly, this information
is invaluable for a trader in any commodity, as well as for
stocks and currency trading. Seeing the potential, Charles Dow
of the Dow Jones company picked up the method around 1900 and
introduced it to the American stock market.
One of the most popular Japanese candlestick charting
techniques uses what are called support and resistance lines.
These lines are most useful when the price is fluctuating in
relatively steady waves.
So at a time when there is no real upward or downward trend,
but the price is moving between certain parameters, you can
draw a line through the top point of the highest candlesticks
on the one hand, and through the bottom point of the lowest
candlesticks on the other. In this situation these two lines
will be more or less horizontal and parallel.
You can then expect that for as long as current market
conditions continue, the price will remain within these
boundaries. You can therefore trade on this basis.
In a different situation where there is a steady trend, you
may still be able to use support and resistance lines to gauge
the fluctuations within the trend. Even in the steadiest of
upward trends there will be moments when the price falls a
little, and vice versa. In this situation the support and
resistance lines will be sloping, but provided they are more or
less parallel, they can be used in the same way as if they were
horizontal.
Where support and resistance lines are converging, that is,
they are not parallel but are closing together as if to join at
a point, then a breakout is indicated. In this situation you
should not trade on the basis that the price will always bounce
back from the lines. It is usually better to wait for the
breakout and go with the emerging trend that it indicates.
On the other hand if the lines diverge, this suggests a
market that is becoming more unstable. It may be better to stay
out of this market for a while.
Support and resistance lines can be very useful but they
should not be your only indicator. Be sure to consult other
signals before opening a trade, and try out your system in
demonstration mode for a reasonable amount of time before going
live. Remember, prices can always behave in unpredictable ways
that can unseat even the best Japanese candlestick charting
techniques.
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