Forex Charting: Using The
RSI
The RSI or Relative Strength Index is one of the most
popular indicators used in forex charting. Like the Parabolic
SAR, it was developed by Welles Wilder. However, it has a very
different function.
The Relative Strength Index is a momentum oscillator. It
compares the price gains of a stock or currency pair to its
losses and expresses this as a number between zero and 100. A
trader can use the resulting number to determine when a market
may be overbought or oversold.
When you have the RSI showing on your forex charting system,
you can set horizontal lines at the points that you want to use
as triggers. Generally, if the RSI is below 30 the market is
oversold and heading for a reversal. If over 70, the market is
overbought.
Therefore, most traders set their marker lines at either 30
and 70, 25 and 75 or 20 and 80. When the RSI crosses these
lines they have a signal to buy or sell the currency pair.
Clearly, if you use the weaker signal of 30 and 70 to open a
trade you will be getting in on a trend nearer to the beginning
with the expectation of making bigger profits, but at the same
time you are likely to get more false signals resulting in
losing trades. Waiting for the stronger signal of 20/80 will
bring you more winning trades but with a little less profit per
trade, other things being equal.
Of course, you should never use only the RSI to determine
when to open a trade. While it is a very quick and simple
method of identifying new trends, you will always need to
confirm by checking against the stochastic or another
indicator.
If you prefer to follow trends rather than watching for
reversals, you can use the RSI as a confirmation of a newly
forming trend. You would generally identify first signals from
another indicator and then check the RSI. If you are expecting
an upward trend, you would be looking for an RSI above 50. This
tells you that the recent price gains are higher than the
recent price falls, so you have a bullish signal. A downtrend
would be confirmed by an RSI below 50.
Like many indicators the RSI depends on the results of price
movements in the recent past. It will be more or less accurate
depending on the number of time periods that are used. In some
charting packages you can alter this. The lowest that most
traders would go would be 14 periods. If you increase it, you
will have a more accurate index but the new trend will not be
identifiable so soon. So just like when you set the marker
lines for the RSI on your forex charting, you have to choose
between more wins and lower profits per successful trade, or
fewer winning trades but higher profits on each one.
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